← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+5.89vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.88+7.51vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University2.71+7.52vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston2.93+5.31vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+2.12vs Predicted
-
6Columbia University1.30+10.21vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont3.24+1.26vs Predicted
-
8Yale University3.29-0.48vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University2.71+1.26vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University3.23-2.01vs Predicted
-
11University of South Florida2.51+0.32vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-0.97vs Predicted
-
13Eckerd College2.47-1.20vs Predicted
-
14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-2.81vs Predicted
-
15Fordham University1.72-0.43vs Predicted
-
16Brown University3.01-7.04vs Predicted
-
17University of Minnesota2.01-3.68vs Predicted
-
18Cornell University2.85-8.26vs Predicted
-
19Old Dominion University2.97-9.95vs Predicted
-
20University of Wisconsin1.53-4.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.89St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
-
9.51U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
-
10.52Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
-
9.31College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
-
7.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
-
16.21Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
-
8.26University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
-
7.52Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
-
10.26Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
-
7.99Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
-
11.32University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
-
11.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
-
11.8Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
-
11.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
-
14.57Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
-
8.96Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
13.32University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
-
9.74Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
-
9.05Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
-
15.42University of Wisconsin1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayumi Roller | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% |
| Kayla Gibson | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 16.3% | 32.5% |
| Olivia Crane | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Billing | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Molly McKinney | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Colleen Hartman | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Amy Baxter | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% |
| Liana Folger | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 16.0% | 17.3% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.6% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Molly Sitter | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 16.4% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.