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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.24+6.90vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.29+5.64vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+4.03vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.85+5.63vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.23+2.93vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.93+3.35vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+4.52vs Predicted
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8Columbia University1.30+7.93vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-2.01vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.71+0.34vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.71-0.65vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.88-2.20vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota2.01+0.76vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.51-2.82vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.47-3.70vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.34-0.15vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.72-2.49vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-7.15vs Predicted
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19Old Dominion University2.97-9.93vs Predicted
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20Brown University3.01-10.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.9University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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7.64Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.03St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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9.63Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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7.93Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.35College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
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11.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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15.93Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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6.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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10.34Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.35Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.8U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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13.76University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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11.18University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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11.3Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
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15.85University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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14.51Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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10.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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9.07Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.05Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Crane | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Emily Billing | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Mayumi Roller | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Molly McKinney | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Kayla Gibson | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Liana Folger | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 16.4% | 29.4% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.0% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 8.9% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Amy Baxter | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 15.9% | 29.5% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 14.5% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.