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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.54+4.01vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.19+3.72vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.53+2.09vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.09+1.55vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.20+0.88vs Predicted
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6University of Miami-0.37+4.66vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.48+1.02vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.02-1.70vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-0.44+2.04vs Predicted
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10Florida International University0.52-2.12vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College-0.17-1.02vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-0.49-0.72vs Predicted
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13The Citadel1.22-5.85vs Predicted
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14The Citadel-0.41-2.99vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-0.72-3.01vs Predicted
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16Rollins College-1.34-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.01University of South Florida1.5412.8%1st Place
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5.72University of South Florida1.1911.9%1st Place
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5.09North Carolina State University1.5313.9%1st Place
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5.55University of South Florida1.0911.1%1st Place
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5.88Jacksonville University1.209.8%1st Place
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10.66University of Miami-0.372.0%1st Place
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8.02Jacksonville University0.485.7%1st Place
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6.3University of South Florida1.028.8%1st Place
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11.04Embry-Riddle University-0.442.1%1st Place
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7.88Florida International University0.526.0%1st Place
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9.98Eckerd College-0.172.5%1st Place
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11.28Rollins College-0.492.5%1st Place
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7.15The Citadel1.226.8%1st Place
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11.01The Citadel-0.411.9%1st Place
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11.99Florida Institute of Technology-0.721.5%1st Place
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13.44Rollins College-1.340.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 12.8% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 11.9% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Usher | 13.9% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 6.7% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Jordan Byrd | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Naomi Sterlingsdottir | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 9.4% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 4.6% |
| Connor Teague | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 10.9% |
| Gregory Walters | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Henry Parker | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 8.6% |
| Anthon Funderburk | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 17.5% |
| Julian Drake | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.