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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.22+7.42vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.92+7.63vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.79+3.37vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.02+5.56vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.23+3.62vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.67+0.92vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95+2.73vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-0.63vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.50-1.60vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.50-2.48vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.74-0.65vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.39-4.11vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.86-3.08vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.73-3.66vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-6.63vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.48-8.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.42College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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9.63Connecticut College2.920.0%1st Place
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6.37Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.56University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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8.62Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.92Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.1%1st Place
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7.37St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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7.4Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.52Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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10.35Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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7.89Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.92University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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10.34Bowdoin College2.730.0%1st Place
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8.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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7.59Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Hall | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% |
| Lucy Wallace | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 9.5% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Chanel Miller | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Katii Gullick | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.4% |
| Mayumi Roller | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| Claire Dennis | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% |
| Emily Maxwell | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 15.4% |
| Morgan Wilson | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 12.1% |
| Charlotte Williamson | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 13.8% |
| Krysta Rohde | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Natalie Salk | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.