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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.26+1.69vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.48+2.01vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.99+0.52vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.12+0.14vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.13+0.65vs Predicted
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6University of Miami-0.75+0.63vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-0.92-0.21vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University0.01-2.95vs Predicted
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9University of Florida-0.86-1.21vs Predicted
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10Florida State University-2.55-0.49vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-3.16-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69College of Charleston1.2630.2%1st Place
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4.01Jacksonville University0.4814.0%1st Place
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3.52University of South Florida0.9917.6%1st Place
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4.14Clemson University0.1213.7%1st Place
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5.65Rollins College-0.136.3%1st Place
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6.63University of Miami-0.753.9%1st Place
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6.79University of North Carolina-0.923.4%1st Place
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5.05North Carolina State University0.018.5%1st Place
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7.79University of Florida-0.861.8%1st Place
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9.51Florida State University-2.550.4%1st Place
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10.21University of Central Florida-3.160.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emily Alfortish | 30.2% | 23.2% | 19.1% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Kaitlyn Liebel | 14.0% | 16.0% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Kalea Woodard | 17.6% | 18.4% | 18.6% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Ashton Loring | 13.7% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Julia Scott | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
Daniella Woodbridge | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 19.3% | 15.8% | 6.8% | 1.5% |
Emma Gumny | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 18.9% | 18.6% | 8.5% | 1.5% |
Lyla Solway | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Ava Moring | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 29.2% | 18.2% | 4.1% |
Olivia Figley | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 12.6% | 39.3% | 30.7% |
Ashley Flanagan | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 22.4% | 61.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.