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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.54+3.86vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.09+3.45vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.02+3.22vs Predicted
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4The Citadel1.22+3.15vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.19+0.68vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College-0.17+4.22vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.20-1.05vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.53-2.97vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.48-0.94vs Predicted
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10The Citadel-0.41+1.09vs Predicted
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11Florida International University0.52-3.07vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-1.34+1.42vs Predicted
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13University of Miami-0.37-2.39vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-0.44-2.95vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-0.72-3.06vs Predicted
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16Rollins College-0.49-4.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.86University of South Florida1.5415.0%1st Place
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5.45University of South Florida1.0911.8%1st Place
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6.22University of South Florida1.0210.2%1st Place
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7.15The Citadel1.226.2%1st Place
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5.68University of South Florida1.1910.4%1st Place
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10.22Eckerd College-0.172.5%1st Place
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5.95Jacksonville University1.209.2%1st Place
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5.03North Carolina State University1.5313.6%1st Place
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8.06Jacksonville University0.484.5%1st Place
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11.09The Citadel-0.411.9%1st Place
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7.93Florida International University0.525.4%1st Place
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13.42Rollins College-1.340.6%1st Place
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10.61University of Miami-0.372.7%1st Place
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11.05Embry-Riddle University-0.442.8%1st Place
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11.94Florida Institute of Technology-0.721.1%1st Place
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11.33Rollins College-0.492.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 15.0% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 11.8% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Gregory Walters | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Humberto Porrata | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 5.1% |
| Brent Penwarden | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Usher | 13.6% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Henry Parker | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 9.9% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Julian Drake | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 39.6% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 7.3% |
| Naomi Sterlingsdottir | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 9.0% |
| Anthon Funderburk | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 16.6% |
| Connor Teague | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.