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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+1.72vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.15+0.18vs Predicted
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3University of Florida1.59+1.23vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.92+1.11vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.14-1.70vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University0.76-0.56vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.52-1.16vs Predicted
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8Florida State University-1.41+0.04vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida-1.50-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.3%1st Place
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2.18University of South Florida3.150.4%1st Place
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4.23University of Florida1.590.1%1st Place
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5.11Jacksonville University0.920.0%1st Place
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3.3Eckerd College2.140.2%1st Place
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5.44Embry-Riddle University0.760.0%1st Place
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5.84University of Miami0.520.0%1st Place
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8.04Florida State University-1.410.0%1st Place
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8.14University of South Florida-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Brown | 25.2% | 24.0% | 21.6% | 17.3% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 37.2% | 29.0% | 19.6% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Thomas | 8.1% | 10.3% | 16.2% | 19.1% | 20.1% | 16.6% | 7.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Steo | 4.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 14.7% | 18.2% | 21.5% | 19.5% | 5.7% | 0.8% |
| Seth Barrows | 16.6% | 20.0% | 21.0% | 18.0% | 13.3% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Joel Hurley | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 11.5% | 16.6% | 23.0% | 23.9% | 8.2% | 1.2% |
| Bryce Scarfone | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 14.9% | 21.3% | 30.2% | 11.7% | 2.1% |
| Janelle Dargham | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 37.0% | 45.4% |
| Sarah Smith | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 6.7% | 34.4% | 50.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.