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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.53+3.87vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.54+2.65vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.20+2.61vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.09+1.21vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College-0.17+4.76vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.19-0.80vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.48+0.58vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.02-2.15vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-0.44+1.49vs Predicted
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10Rollins College-0.49+0.75vs Predicted
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11Rollins College-1.34+2.00vs Predicted
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12The Citadel1.22-5.17vs Predicted
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13The Citadel-0.41-2.39vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology-0.72-2.60vs Predicted
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15University of Central Florida-0.96-0.97vs Predicted
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16University of Miami-0.37-5.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87North Carolina State University1.5312.9%1st Place
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4.65University of South Florida1.5415.4%1st Place
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5.61Jacksonville University1.2011.1%1st Place
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5.21University of South Florida1.0912.5%1st Place
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9.76Eckerd College-0.173.0%1st Place
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5.2University of South Florida1.1912.2%1st Place
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7.58Jacksonville University0.485.1%1st Place
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5.85University of South Florida1.029.4%1st Place
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10.49Embry-Riddle University-0.442.5%1st Place
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10.75Rollins College-0.492.2%1st Place
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13.0Rollins College-1.340.9%1st Place
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6.83The Citadel1.226.8%1st Place
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10.61The Citadel-0.412.1%1st Place
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11.4Florida Institute of Technology-0.720.9%1st Place
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14.03University of Central Florida-0.960.4%1st Place
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10.18University of Miami-0.372.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 12.9% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 15.4% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 12.5% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Humberto Porrata | 12.2% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Byrd | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Naomi Sterlingsdottir | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 4.2% |
| Connor Teague | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 4.5% |
| Julian Drake | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 22.6% | 24.8% |
| Gregory Walters | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Henry Parker | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 4.7% |
| Anthon Funderburk | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 9.2% |
| Sam Pearl | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 18.1% | 46.5% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.