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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.15+1.06vs Predicted
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2University of Florida1.59+2.33vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.14+0.38vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.52+1.73vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.92+0.10vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University0.76-0.54vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida-1.50+1.17vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-5.27vs Predicted
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10Florida State University-1.41-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06University of South Florida3.150.4%1st Place
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4.33University of Florida1.590.1%1st Place
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3.38Eckerd College2.140.2%1st Place
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5.73University of Miami0.520.0%1st Place
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5.1Jacksonville University0.920.1%1st Place
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5.46Embry-Riddle University0.760.0%1st Place
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8.17University of South Florida-1.500.0%1st Place
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2.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.2%1st Place
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8.04Florida State University-1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Mohney | 41.5% | 29.6% | 16.2% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Thomas | 6.9% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 20.5% | 19.7% | 16.9% | 8.1% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Seth Barrows | 15.4% | 16.8% | 22.5% | 18.9% | 15.2% | 8.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Scarfone | 2.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 16.5% | 19.6% | 29.6% | 10.5% | 2.2% |
| Alex Steo | 5.1% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 17.1% | 21.0% | 19.3% | 6.2% | 1.3% |
| Joel Hurley | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 22.8% | 25.3% | 7.7% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Smith | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 6.5% | 35.4% | 50.2% |
| Bradley Brown | 24.0% | 25.9% | 20.9% | 16.5% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Janelle Dargham | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 8.3% | 37.1% | 45.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.