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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.02+4.87vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.19+3.33vs Predicted
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3Rollins College-1.34+9.97vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.20+1.54vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.09+0.16vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.53-1.15vs Predicted
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7The Citadel1.22-0.17vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.48-0.43vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.54-4.24vs Predicted
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10University of Miami-0.37+0.15vs Predicted
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11Rollins College-0.49-0.06vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-0.72-0.49vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-0.44-2.70vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College-0.17-4.34vs Predicted
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15The Citadel-0.41-4.56vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-0.96-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.87University of South Florida1.0210.4%1st Place
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5.33University of South Florida1.1911.7%1st Place
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12.97Rollins College-1.340.8%1st Place
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5.54Jacksonville University1.2010.8%1st Place
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5.16University of South Florida1.0913.0%1st Place
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4.85North Carolina State University1.5314.3%1st Place
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6.83The Citadel1.226.7%1st Place
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7.57Jacksonville University0.485.6%1st Place
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4.76University of South Florida1.5413.1%1st Place
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10.15University of Miami-0.372.5%1st Place
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10.94Rollins College-0.492.2%1st Place
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11.51Florida Institute of Technology-0.721.1%1st Place
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10.3Embry-Riddle University-0.442.4%1st Place
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9.66Eckerd College-0.172.5%1st Place
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10.44The Citadel-0.412.1%1st Place
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14.13University of Central Florida-0.960.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Byrd | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Humberto Porrata | 11.7% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julian Drake | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 21.2% | 23.8% |
| Brent Penwarden | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 13.0% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 14.3% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Eden Nykamp | 13.1% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 3.2% |
| Connor Teague | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 5.3% |
| Anthon Funderburk | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 8.7% |
| Naomi Sterlingsdottir | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 4.2% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 1.9% |
| Henry Parker | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 4.1% |
| Sam Pearl | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 18.1% | 48.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.