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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+1.75vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.15+0.15vs Predicted
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3University of Florida1.59+1.23vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.14-0.71vs Predicted
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5University of Miami0.52+0.71vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.92-0.79vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University0.76-1.51vs Predicted
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8Florida State University-1.41+0.03vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida-1.50-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.3%1st Place
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2.15University of South Florida3.150.4%1st Place
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4.23University of Florida1.590.1%1st Place
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3.29Eckerd College2.140.2%1st Place
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5.71University of Miami0.520.0%1st Place
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5.21Jacksonville University0.920.1%1st Place
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5.49Embry-Riddle University0.760.0%1st Place
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8.03Florida State University-1.410.0%1st Place
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8.14University of South Florida-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Brown | 25.9% | 23.1% | 22.5% | 14.2% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 37.9% | 29.4% | 19.5% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Thomas | 8.3% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 20.5% | 18.7% | 15.7% | 9.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Seth Barrows | 15.5% | 19.5% | 22.1% | 19.1% | 14.0% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Scarfone | 2.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 19.8% | 25.2% | 13.7% | 2.1% |
| Alex Steo | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 13.6% | 18.9% | 21.6% | 22.1% | 5.5% | 0.8% |
| Joel Hurley | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 17.2% | 21.6% | 24.8% | 8.8% | 1.3% |
| Janelle Dargham | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 36.2% | 45.6% |
| Sarah Smith | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 34.0% | 50.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.