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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.53+3.93vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.19+3.28vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.54+1.58vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.20+1.51vs Predicted
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5The Citadel1.22+1.60vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.02-0.14vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.09-1.60vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-0.44+2.57vs Predicted
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9University of Miami-0.37+1.22vs Predicted
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10Rollins College-1.34+2.89vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College-0.17-1.29vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-0.72-0.49vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-0.96+1.02vs Predicted
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14Rollins College-0.49-3.29vs Predicted
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15The Citadel-0.41-4.47vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University0.48-8.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93North Carolina State University1.5313.7%1st Place
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5.28University of South Florida1.1912.9%1st Place
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4.58University of South Florida1.5413.8%1st Place
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5.51Jacksonville University1.2011.7%1st Place
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6.6The Citadel1.227.2%1st Place
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5.86University of South Florida1.029.3%1st Place
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5.4University of South Florida1.0911.3%1st Place
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10.57Embry-Riddle University-0.442.4%1st Place
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10.22University of Miami-0.372.2%1st Place
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12.89Rollins College-1.341.4%1st Place
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9.71Eckerd College-0.172.7%1st Place
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11.51Florida Institute of Technology-0.721.6%1st Place
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14.02University of Central Florida-0.960.6%1st Place
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10.71Rollins College-0.492.7%1st Place
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10.53The Citadel-0.411.8%1st Place
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7.69Jacksonville University0.484.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 13.7% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 12.9% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Eden Nykamp | 13.8% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Gregory Walters | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Byrd | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Naomi Sterlingsdottir | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 5.1% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 3.8% |
| Julian Drake | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 20.6% | 24.9% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 1.7% |
| Anthon Funderburk | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 8.8% |
| Sam Pearl | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 17.9% | 45.9% |
| Connor Teague | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 4.7% |
| Henry Parker | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 4.3% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.