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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.15+1.07vs Predicted
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2Embry-Riddle University0.76+3.64vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.14+0.37vs Predicted
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4University of Florida1.59+0.05vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-2.31vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.92-0.81vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.52-1.18vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida-1.50-0.89vs Predicted
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10Florida State University-1.41-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07University of South Florida3.150.4%1st Place
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5.64Embry-Riddle University0.760.0%1st Place
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3.37Eckerd College2.140.1%1st Place
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4.05University of Florida1.590.1%1st Place
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2.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.3%1st Place
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5.19Jacksonville University0.920.0%1st Place
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5.82University of Miami0.520.0%1st Place
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8.11University of South Florida-1.500.0%1st Place
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8.04Florida State University-1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Mohney | 41.7% | 26.9% | 19.4% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joel Hurley | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 11.8% | 17.5% | 22.7% | 22.8% | 11.2% | 1.8% |
| Seth Barrows | 12.7% | 20.7% | 22.1% | 19.3% | 14.6% | 7.9% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Thomas | 9.4% | 11.4% | 16.7% | 21.1% | 20.3% | 12.3% | 7.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Bradley Brown | 25.5% | 26.3% | 20.7% | 14.8% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alex Steo | 4.3% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 14.3% | 17.5% | 23.1% | 20.3% | 5.8% | 0.7% |
| Bryce Scarfone | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 14.8% | 23.0% | 30.4% | 10.2% | 2.2% |
| Sarah Smith | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 7.9% | 33.5% | 49.7% |
| Janelle Dargham | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 7.9% | 37.2% | 45.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.