← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida1.54+4.15vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University1.53+3.48vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida1.02+3.66vs Predicted
-
4Rollins College0.41+4.19vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University1.20+1.17vs Predicted
-
6Florida International University0.52+2.41vs Predicted
-
7University of Miami-0.37+4.41vs Predicted
-
8Jacksonville University0.48+0.51vs Predicted
-
9The Citadel-0.41+2.61vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida1.19-4.04vs Predicted
-
11Embry-Riddle University-0.44+0.76vs Predicted
-
12University of South Florida1.09-6.17vs Predicted
-
13The Citadel1.22-5.50vs Predicted
-
14Rollins College0.09-3.87vs Predicted
-
15Florida Institute of Technology-0.72-2.55vs Predicted
-
16Eckerd College-0.17-5.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.15University of South Florida1.5414.0%1st Place
-
5.48North Carolina State University1.5312.2%1st Place
-
6.66University of South Florida1.028.0%1st Place
-
8.19Rollins College0.415.1%1st Place
-
6.17Jacksonville University1.209.8%1st Place
-
8.41Florida International University0.524.7%1st Place
-
11.41University of Miami-0.372.2%1st Place
-
8.51Jacksonville University0.484.5%1st Place
-
11.61The Citadel-0.411.9%1st Place
-
5.96University of South Florida1.1910.4%1st Place
-
11.76Embry-Riddle University-0.441.8%1st Place
-
5.83University of South Florida1.0911.8%1st Place
-
7.5The Citadel1.225.9%1st Place
-
10.13Rollins College0.093.6%1st Place
-
12.45Florida Institute of Technology-0.722.2%1st Place
-
10.79Eckerd College-0.172.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 14.0% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Usher | 12.2% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Byrd | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Hilton Kamps | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Brent Penwarden | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 14.8% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Henry Parker | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 16.2% |
| Humberto Porrata | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Naomi Sterlingsdottir | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 16.6% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 11.8% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Gregory Walters | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Jackson McGeough | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% |
| Anthon Funderburk | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 15.9% | 28.3% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.