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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.19+5.14vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.20+4.28vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.53+2.42vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.48+4.54vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.54+0.26vs Predicted
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6The Citadel1.22+1.43vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.41+1.37vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College-0.17+2.56vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.09-3.00vs Predicted
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10University of Miami-0.37+1.23vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.02-4.43vs Predicted
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12The Citadel-0.41-0.38vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-0.44-1.44vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology-0.72-1.49vs Predicted
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15Florida International University0.52-6.57vs Predicted
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16Rollins College0.09-5.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14University of South Florida1.199.7%1st Place
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6.28Jacksonville University1.209.4%1st Place
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5.42North Carolina State University1.5312.2%1st Place
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8.54Jacksonville University0.484.6%1st Place
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5.26University of South Florida1.5412.8%1st Place
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7.43The Citadel1.227.2%1st Place
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8.37Rollins College0.415.1%1st Place
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10.56Eckerd College-0.173.1%1st Place
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6.0University of South Florida1.0910.4%1st Place
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11.23University of Miami-0.372.2%1st Place
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6.57University of South Florida1.028.4%1st Place
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11.62The Citadel-0.411.8%1st Place
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11.56Embry-Riddle University-0.441.8%1st Place
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12.51Florida Institute of Technology-0.721.8%1st Place
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8.43Florida International University0.525.5%1st Place
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10.08Rollins College0.093.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Humberto Porrata | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Brent Penwarden | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
Jacob Usher | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Kaitlyn Liebel | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
Eden Nykamp | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Gregory Walters | 7.2% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
Hilton Kamps | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
Lily Schwartz | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.1% |
Emma Shakespeare | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Sandra Heilshorn | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 13.2% |
Jordan Byrd | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
Henry Parker | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 16.2% |
Naomi Sterlingsdottir | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 18.3% |
Anthon Funderburk | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 27.4% |
Hudson Jenkins | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
Jackson McGeough | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.