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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.02+5.61vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.19+4.00vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College-0.17+7.62vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.09+1.80vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.41+3.32vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.53-0.65vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.20-0.63vs Predicted
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8The Citadel1.22-0.31vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.54-3.86vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-0.44+1.52vs Predicted
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11The Citadel-0.41+0.59vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.48-3.47vs Predicted
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13Rollins College0.09-2.84vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology-0.72-1.47vs Predicted
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15Florida International University0.52-6.45vs Predicted
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16University of Miami-0.37-4.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.61University of South Florida1.029.5%1st Place
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6.0University of South Florida1.1911.1%1st Place
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10.62Eckerd College-0.172.2%1st Place
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5.8University of South Florida1.0911.5%1st Place
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8.32Rollins College0.415.1%1st Place
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5.35North Carolina State University1.5312.2%1st Place
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6.37Jacksonville University1.208.6%1st Place
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7.69The Citadel1.226.0%1st Place
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5.14University of South Florida1.5413.8%1st Place
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11.52Embry-Riddle University-0.442.1%1st Place
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11.59The Citadel-0.411.8%1st Place
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8.53Jacksonville University0.484.8%1st Place
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10.16Rollins College0.093.0%1st Place
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12.53Florida Institute of Technology-0.721.4%1st Place
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8.55Florida International University0.524.5%1st Place
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11.21University of Miami-0.372.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Byrd | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Humberto Porrata | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 9.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Jacob Usher | 12.2% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Gregory Walters | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Eden Nykamp | 13.8% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Naomi Sterlingsdottir | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 17.5% |
| Henry Parker | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 17.2% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Jackson McGeough | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 6.4% |
| Anthon Funderburk | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 28.1% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.