← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Miami2.28+2.55vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida3.15+0.42vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+0.02vs Predicted
-
4University of Florida1.59+0.51vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University0.92+0.54vs Predicted
-
6Embry-Riddle University0.76-0.14vs Predicted
-
7Eckerd College2.14-3.26vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida-1.50-0.79vs Predicted
-
10Florida State University-1.41-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.55University of Miami2.280.2%1st Place
-
2.42University of South Florida3.150.3%1st Place
-
3.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.2%1st Place
-
4.51University of Florida1.590.1%1st Place
-
5.54Jacksonville University0.920.0%1st Place
-
5.86Embry-Riddle University0.760.0%1st Place
-
3.74Eckerd College2.140.1%1st Place
-
8.21University of South Florida-1.500.0%1st Place
-
8.15Florida State University-1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Jassin | 15.8% | 16.8% | 16.8% | 20.0% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 4.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 32.8% | 25.9% | 20.9% | 11.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Brown | 22.0% | 21.9% | 19.6% | 15.6% | 12.5% | 6.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Thomas | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 20.4% | 18.9% | 13.0% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Alex Steo | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 20.8% | 27.0% | 10.2% | 1.2% |
| Joel Hurley | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 12.5% | 20.0% | 35.4% | 10.5% | 1.6% |
| Seth Barrows | 13.3% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 18.1% | 18.5% | 12.9% | 5.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Smith | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 35.8% | 50.8% |
| Janelle Dargham | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 40.4% | 46.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.