← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University1.20+5.00vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida1.19+3.78vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida1.54+1.99vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University1.53+1.23vs Predicted
-
5The Citadel1.22+2.29vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College-0.17+4.55vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida0.50+1.27vs Predicted
-
8Rollins College0.41+0.07vs Predicted
-
9Florida Institute of Technology0.73-2.03vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida1.02-3.56vs Predicted
-
11University of Miami-0.37-0.10vs Predicted
-
12Rollins College0.09-1.95vs Predicted
-
13Jacksonville University0.48-4.68vs Predicted
-
14Embry-Riddle University-0.44-2.79vs Predicted
-
15The Citadel-0.41-3.60vs Predicted
-
16University of Central Florida-0.96-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.0Jacksonville University1.2010.1%1st Place
-
5.78University of South Florida1.1910.6%1st Place
-
4.99University of South Florida1.5415.1%1st Place
-
5.23North Carolina State University1.5313.1%1st Place
-
7.29The Citadel1.227.4%1st Place
-
10.55Eckerd College-0.173.3%1st Place
-
8.27University of South Florida0.504.9%1st Place
-
8.07Rollins College0.415.5%1st Place
-
6.97Florida Institute of Technology0.737.0%1st Place
-
6.44University of South Florida1.028.2%1st Place
-
10.9University of Miami-0.372.3%1st Place
-
10.05Rollins College0.092.6%1st Place
-
8.32Jacksonville University0.484.9%1st Place
-
11.21Embry-Riddle University-0.442.8%1st Place
-
11.4The Citadel-0.411.8%1st Place
-
14.54University of Central Florida-0.960.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent Penwarden | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Humberto Porrata | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 15.1% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 13.1% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Gregory Walters | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Lily Schwartz | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 5.0% |
| Luke Justin | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Hilton Kamps | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Brendan Smucker | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Byrd | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 6.5% |
| Jackson McGeough | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 3.6% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Naomi Sterlingsdottir | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 17.9% | 8.9% |
| Henry Parker | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 16.8% | 8.8% |
| Sam Pearl | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 12.3% | 63.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.