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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.54+4.00vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.19+3.79vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.20+3.05vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology0.73+3.13vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.02+1.47vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.50+2.23vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College-0.17+3.45vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.41+0.13vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-0.44+2.25vs Predicted
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10University of Miami-0.37+0.96vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.48-2.79vs Predicted
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12The Citadel1.22-4.64vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.53-7.60vs Predicted
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14Rollins College0.09-4.14vs Predicted
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15The Citadel-0.41-3.86vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-0.96-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.0University of South Florida1.5413.3%1st Place
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5.79University of South Florida1.1911.0%1st Place
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6.05Jacksonville University1.2010.2%1st Place
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7.13Florida Institute of Technology0.737.4%1st Place
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6.47University of South Florida1.028.9%1st Place
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8.23University of South Florida0.506.0%1st Place
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10.45Eckerd College-0.172.0%1st Place
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8.13Rollins College0.415.0%1st Place
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11.25Embry-Riddle University-0.442.5%1st Place
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10.96University of Miami-0.372.0%1st Place
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8.21Jacksonville University0.485.1%1st Place
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7.36The Citadel1.226.0%1st Place
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5.4North Carolina State University1.5313.3%1st Place
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9.86Rollins College0.093.2%1st Place
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11.14The Citadel-0.413.2%1st Place
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14.56University of Central Florida-0.960.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 13.3% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brent Penwarden | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Smucker | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Byrd | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Luke Justin | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 4.5% |
| Hilton Kamps | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Naomi Sterlingsdottir | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 17.4% | 8.9% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 7.5% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Gregory Walters | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Usher | 13.3% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 3.8% |
| Henry Parker | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 17.3% | 8.8% |
| Sam Pearl | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 12.2% | 63.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.