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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.54+4.03vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.19+3.84vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.20+3.02vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.53+1.21vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology0.73+2.10vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.02+0.42vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College-0.17+3.37vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.48+0.33vs Predicted
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9University of Miami-0.37+1.98vs Predicted
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10The Citadel1.22-2.67vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-0.44+0.31vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.41-3.95vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida0.50-4.89vs Predicted
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14Rollins College0.09-3.91vs Predicted
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15The Citadel-0.41-3.86vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-0.96-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.03University of South Florida1.5413.9%1st Place
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5.84University of South Florida1.1910.4%1st Place
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6.02Jacksonville University1.208.6%1st Place
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5.21North Carolina State University1.5313.4%1st Place
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7.1Florida Institute of Technology0.736.7%1st Place
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6.42University of South Florida1.029.6%1st Place
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10.37Eckerd College-0.173.1%1st Place
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8.33Jacksonville University0.485.9%1st Place
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10.98University of Miami-0.372.1%1st Place
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7.33The Citadel1.226.9%1st Place
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11.31Embry-Riddle University-0.442.2%1st Place
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8.05Rollins College0.415.8%1st Place
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8.11University of South Florida0.505.9%1st Place
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10.09Rollins College0.092.9%1st Place
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11.14The Citadel-0.412.1%1st Place
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14.68University of Central Florida-0.960.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 13.9% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Brent Penwarden | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Usher | 13.4% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Smucker | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Byrd | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Lily Schwartz | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 4.5% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 7.5% |
| Gregory Walters | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Naomi Sterlingsdottir | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 16.9% | 8.7% |
| Hilton Kamps | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Luke Justin | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Jackson McGeough | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 4.2% |
| Henry Parker | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 14.7% | 17.3% | 7.6% |
| Sam Pearl | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 12.6% | 63.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.