Race 12A

women-emily-wick-sloop-shrew

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Emily Lambert 8.5% 10.5% 10.3% 7.1% 8.4% 7.9% 7.5% 7.1% 6.9% 5.4% 4.9% 3.7% 5.2% 2.4% 2.6% 1.6%
Lucy Wallace 3.8% 5.6% 4.7% 5.0% 5.7% 5.2% 5.6% 5.5% 4.4% 5.4% 7.4% 6.5% 8.0% 7.4% 10.0% 9.8%
Corey Hall 6.4% 4.9% 6.4% 6.0% 5.3% 6.3% 7.6% 5.9% 6.1% 6.6% 7.6% 8.0% 6.4% 6.1% 5.1% 5.3%
Mayumi Roller 6.4% 8.5% 8.0% 6.3% 6.4% 6.6% 8.0% 6.9% 6.9% 7.2% 5.8% 5.4% 5.6% 5.4% 3.6% 3.0%
Natalie Salk 7.3% 7.3% 7.0% 7.5% 7.6% 8.0% 6.5% 7.0% 7.1% 6.2% 6.6% 5.2% 4.9% 5.5% 4.7% 1.6%
Morgan Wilson 6.4% 5.8% 7.6% 8.0% 7.2% 6.8% 5.8% 6.8% 7.5% 5.8% 6.8% 5.8% 6.4% 4.8% 4.7% 3.8%
Elizabeth Barry 11.7% 8.9% 8.6% 7.4% 9.2% 8.0% 7.2% 7.1% 6.6% 6.4% 3.7% 5.3% 4.4% 2.8% 1.5% 1.2%
Chandler Salisbury 6.1% 7.3% 5.5% 6.6% 5.4% 6.7% 6.7% 5.7% 6.2% 6.5% 7.3% 7.7% 6.2% 5.3% 5.6% 5.2%
Emily Maxwell 7.6% 8.8% 6.5% 7.8% 7.2% 8.2% 6.3% 8.0% 7.6% 5.3% 5.6% 4.8% 4.9% 5.0% 3.1% 3.3%
Charlotte Williamson 3.6% 3.7% 4.2% 3.4% 4.4% 3.7% 4.3% 4.5% 5.1% 5.3% 6.6% 6.7% 9.1% 10.2% 10.5% 14.7%
Elizabeth Glivinski 4.7% 3.8% 3.0% 4.6% 4.1% 4.1% 4.3% 5.2% 5.1% 6.2% 4.8% 6.5% 7.9% 9.2% 11.3% 15.2%
Claire Dennis 8.2% 7.3% 7.8% 9.0% 7.3% 5.7% 6.4% 6.2% 6.3% 7.2% 5.7% 6.0% 4.5% 5.1% 4.8% 2.5%
Krysta Rohde 5.4% 5.6% 8.0% 7.0% 5.3% 7.8% 6.4% 6.2% 8.2% 7.1% 6.5% 7.3% 4.3% 5.3% 5.8% 3.8%
Chanel Miller 5.4% 4.5% 3.9% 5.5% 6.6% 5.1% 6.1% 6.5% 6.4% 5.6% 7.4% 6.1% 7.0% 7.9% 8.0% 8.0%
Katii Gullick 5.0% 3.3% 4.3% 4.2% 5.2% 5.8% 5.9% 5.1% 5.2% 7.3% 5.7% 7.0% 7.7% 10.1% 9.0% 9.2%
Alexandra Arntsen 3.5% 4.2% 4.2% 4.6% 4.7% 4.1% 5.4% 6.3% 4.4% 6.5% 7.6% 8.0% 7.5% 7.5% 9.7% 11.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.