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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.26+1.63vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.01+3.06vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.48+1.08vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.99-0.47vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.13+0.64vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.12-1.95vs Predicted
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7University of Miami-0.75-0.41vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-0.92-1.10vs Predicted
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9University of Florida-0.86-1.10vs Predicted
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10Florida State University-2.55-0.54vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-3.16-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63College of Charleston1.2631.9%1st Place
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5.06North Carolina State University0.018.5%1st Place
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4.08Jacksonville University0.4813.6%1st Place
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3.53University of South Florida0.9916.9%1st Place
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5.64Rollins College-0.136.2%1st Place
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4.05Clemson University0.1214.0%1st Place
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6.59University of Miami-0.753.2%1st Place
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6.9University of North Carolina-0.922.7%1st Place
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7.9University of Florida-0.862.3%1st Place
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9.46Florida State University-2.550.5%1st Place
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10.16University of Central Florida-3.160.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Alfortish | 31.9% | 23.3% | 17.9% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lyla Solway | 8.5% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 13.6% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kalea Woodard | 16.9% | 19.9% | 16.2% | 17.2% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Ashton Loring | 14.0% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Daniella Woodbridge | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 17.3% | 17.7% | 17.0% | 6.6% | 1.0% |
| Emma Gumny | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 20.9% | 20.0% | 7.6% | 1.9% |
| Ava Moring | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 15.3% | 26.2% | 21.1% | 5.2% |
| Olivia Figley | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 13.0% | 37.4% | 30.7% |
| Ashley Flanagan | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 22.8% | 60.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.