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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida0.90+4.43vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.36+4.97vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.10+0.03vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.36+3.59vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.45-0.40vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College0.90+0.28vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.19+1.26vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.68-1.33vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.82-2.51vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College-0.04-0.92vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology-0.88+0.68vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-1.72+1.53vs Predicted
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13Rollins College-0.71-1.90vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University-0.77-2.59vs Predicted
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15Rollins College-1.69-1.44vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-0.46-5.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.43University of South Florida0.909.7%1st Place
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6.97University of South Florida0.366.1%1st Place
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3.03Jacksonville University2.1029.2%1st Place
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7.59The Citadel0.364.9%1st Place
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4.6University of South Florida1.4513.7%1st Place
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6.28Eckerd College0.907.5%1st Place
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8.26The Citadel0.195.0%1st Place
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6.67University of Miami0.687.2%1st Place
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6.49Jacksonville University0.826.7%1st Place
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9.08Eckerd College-0.042.9%1st Place
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11.68Florida Institute of Technology-0.881.1%1st Place
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13.53Embry-Riddle University-1.720.7%1st Place
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11.1Rollins College-0.711.3%1st Place
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11.41North Carolina State University-0.771.1%1st Place
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13.56Rollins College-1.690.7%1st Place
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10.32University of Central Florida-0.462.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Keswater | 9.7% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Owen Bannasch | 29.2% | 21.8% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Frank | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 13.7% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Josh Becher | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Agija Elerte | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ronan Sulkin | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| William Mullray | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 9.6% |
| Alexander Oakes | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 20.2% | 34.7% |
| Clayton Weum | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 6.0% |
| Jake Montjoy | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 7.7% |
| Henry Campbell | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 19.7% | 35.9% |
| Julian Larsen | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.