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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.10+2.06vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.45+2.54vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College0.90+3.29vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.90+1.44vs Predicted
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5University of Miami0.68+1.71vs Predicted
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6Rollins College-0.71+5.21vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College-0.04+1.99vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.19+0.27vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.36-2.03vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology-0.88+1.67vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.36-3.26vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-0.77-0.61vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University0.82-6.75vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-0.46-3.53vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-1.72-1.53vs Predicted
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16Rollins College-1.69-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06Jacksonville University2.1027.5%1st Place
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4.54University of South Florida1.4514.3%1st Place
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6.29Eckerd College0.907.4%1st Place
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5.44University of South Florida0.9010.4%1st Place
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6.71University of Miami0.686.6%1st Place
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11.21Rollins College-0.711.4%1st Place
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8.99Eckerd College-0.042.9%1st Place
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8.27The Citadel0.194.2%1st Place
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6.97University of South Florida0.365.9%1st Place
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11.67Florida Institute of Technology-0.881.1%1st Place
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7.74The Citadel0.365.0%1st Place
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11.39North Carolina State University-0.771.5%1st Place
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6.25Jacksonville University0.828.0%1st Place
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10.47University of Central Florida-0.462.3%1st Place
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13.47Embry-Riddle University-1.720.7%1st Place
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13.55Rollins College-1.690.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 27.5% | 22.2% | 16.4% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 14.3% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Andreas Keswater | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Josh Becher | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Clayton Weum | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 6.8% |
| Ronan Sulkin | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Kenneth Buck | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Erik Volk | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| William Mullray | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 10.5% |
| Noah Frank | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Jake Montjoy | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 8.1% |
| Agija Elerte | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Julian Larsen | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 3.8% |
| Alexander Oakes | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 21.1% | 33.0% |
| Henry Campbell | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 19.6% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.