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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.45+3.54vs Predicted
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2University of Miami0.68+4.77vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.10+0.01vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.82+2.37vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.36+2.74vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.36+0.94vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.90-1.47vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.19+0.19vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College-0.04+0.07vs Predicted
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10Rollins College-1.69+3.57vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College0.90-4.59vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-0.77-0.71vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology-0.88-1.32vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-1.72-0.49vs Predicted
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15University of Central Florida-0.46-4.63vs Predicted
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16Rollins College-0.71-4.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54University of South Florida1.4514.5%1st Place
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6.77University of Miami0.686.2%1st Place
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3.01Jacksonville University2.1029.0%1st Place
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6.37Jacksonville University0.827.8%1st Place
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7.74The Citadel0.364.4%1st Place
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6.94University of South Florida0.365.5%1st Place
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5.53University of South Florida0.909.6%1st Place
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8.19The Citadel0.194.7%1st Place
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9.07Eckerd College-0.043.1%1st Place
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13.57Rollins College-1.690.5%1st Place
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6.41Eckerd College0.907.5%1st Place
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11.29North Carolina State University-0.771.8%1st Place
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11.68Florida Institute of Technology-0.881.5%1st Place
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13.51Embry-Riddle University-1.720.8%1st Place
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10.37University of Central Florida-0.461.6%1st Place
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11.03Rollins College-0.711.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachariah Schemel | 14.5% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Owen Bannasch | 29.0% | 22.9% | 16.0% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 7.8% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Noah Frank | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Erik Volk | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Andreas Keswater | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Ronan Sulkin | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Henry Campbell | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 21.7% | 35.4% |
| Griffin Richardson | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jake Montjoy | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 7.1% |
| William Mullray | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 10.3% |
| Alexander Oakes | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 20.4% | 35.8% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 3.4% |
| Clayton Weum | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 11.1% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.