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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.00+0.73vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.85+1.17vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.26+0.87vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.56-0.66vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University0.05+0.56vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.37-0.85vs Predicted
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7University of Florida-0.51-0.51vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida-1.78-0.02vs Predicted
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9Florida State University-1.52-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.73University of South Florida3.000.5%1st Place
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3.17Eckerd College1.850.1%1st Place
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3.87University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
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3.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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5.56Embry-Riddle University0.050.0%1st Place
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5.15Jacksonville University0.370.0%1st Place
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6.49University of Florida-0.510.0%1st Place
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7.98University of South Florida-1.780.0%1st Place
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7.72Florida State University-1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Perry | 54.8% | 26.8% | 11.7% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradford Cederberg | 12.3% | 26.2% | 23.5% | 18.6% | 11.8% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Giancarlo Falconi | 8.6% | 15.0% | 18.1% | 22.0% | 18.6% | 12.1% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Odegard | 14.9% | 17.1% | 23.9% | 19.9% | 14.8% | 6.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Geller | 2.9% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 21.9% | 17.9% | 13.1% | 2.9% |
| Daniel Moore | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 19.4% | 24.3% | 18.1% | 5.7% | 0.7% |
| Daniel Schulman | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 17.0% | 31.2% | 21.2% | 7.8% |
| Kevin Hendrickson | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 25.2% | 51.5% |
| John Sutton | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 14.3% | 33.1% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.