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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College0.90+4.93vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.90+3.15vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.10-0.12vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.45+0.44vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.36+1.52vs Predicted
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6Rollins College-0.71+4.79vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.19+0.97vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.88+3.38vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.82-2.87vs Predicted
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10University of Miami-0.73+0.80vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College-0.04-2.37vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-1.69+1.35vs Predicted
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13The Citadel0.36-5.53vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-1.72-0.49vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University-0.77-4.00vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-0.46-5.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.93Eckerd College0.907.0%1st Place
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5.15University of South Florida0.9011.4%1st Place
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2.88Jacksonville University2.1029.3%1st Place
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4.44University of South Florida1.4514.5%1st Place
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6.52University of South Florida0.366.9%1st Place
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10.79Rollins College-0.712.0%1st Place
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7.97The Citadel0.194.8%1st Place
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11.38Florida Institute of Technology-0.881.1%1st Place
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6.13Jacksonville University0.827.6%1st Place
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10.8University of Miami-0.731.7%1st Place
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8.63Eckerd College-0.044.0%1st Place
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13.35Rollins College-1.690.4%1st Place
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7.47The Citadel0.365.3%1st Place
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13.51Embry-Riddle University-1.720.4%1st Place
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11.0North Carolina State University-0.771.7%1st Place
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10.03University of Central Florida-0.461.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Richardson | 7.0% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 11.4% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 29.3% | 23.4% | 16.8% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 14.5% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Clayton Weum | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 5.5% |
| Kenneth Buck | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| William Mullray | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 8.8% |
| Agija Elerte | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Engel | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 6.2% |
| Ronan Sulkin | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Henry Campbell | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 19.7% | 33.4% |
| Noah Frank | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Oakes | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 18.9% | 34.6% |
| Jake Montjoy | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 6.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.