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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.10+1.89vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.36+5.42vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.36+3.79vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.90+1.16vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College0.90+0.98vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.82+0.11vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.45-2.58vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.19-0.19vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.71+1.87vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-0.77+0.95vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College-0.04-2.19vs Predicted
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12University of Miami-0.73-1.14vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.72+0.33vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology-0.88-2.68vs Predicted
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15Rollins College-1.69-1.74vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-0.46-5.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Jacksonville University2.1030.3%1st Place
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7.42The Citadel0.365.2%1st Place
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6.79University of South Florida0.365.3%1st Place
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5.16University of South Florida0.9010.8%1st Place
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5.98Eckerd College0.907.8%1st Place
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6.11Jacksonville University0.828.5%1st Place
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4.42University of South Florida1.4515.3%1st Place
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7.81The Citadel0.194.2%1st Place
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10.87Rollins College-0.711.6%1st Place
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10.95North Carolina State University-0.771.8%1st Place
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8.81Eckerd College-0.043.4%1st Place
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10.86University of Miami-0.731.4%1st Place
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13.33Embry-Riddle University-1.720.5%1st Place
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11.32Florida Institute of Technology-0.881.5%1st Place
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13.26Rollins College-1.690.3%1st Place
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10.04University of Central Florida-0.462.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 30.3% | 21.8% | 17.3% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Frank | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Erik Volk | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Andreas Keswater | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Griffin Richardson | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Agija Elerte | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 15.3% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Clayton Weum | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 5.9% |
| Jake Montjoy | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 7.2% |
| Ronan Sulkin | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Engel | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 6.0% |
| Alexander Oakes | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 20.1% | 33.1% |
| William Mullray | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 9.0% |
| Henry Campbell | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 18.8% | 33.2% |
| Julian Larsen | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.