← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University2.10+1.98vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida1.45+2.37vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida0.36+3.59vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College0.90+1.91vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida0.90+0.17vs Predicted
-
6Jacksonville University0.82+0.03vs Predicted
-
7The Citadel0.36+0.44vs Predicted
-
8Eckerd College-0.04+0.74vs Predicted
-
9Florida Institute of Technology-0.88+2.30vs Predicted
-
10North Carolina State University-0.77+1.00vs Predicted
-
11The Citadel0.19-3.01vs Predicted
-
12Rollins College-0.71-1.14vs Predicted
-
13Rollins College-1.69+0.45vs Predicted
-
14University of Miami-0.73-3.10vs Predicted
-
15University of Central Florida-0.46-5.12vs Predicted
-
16Embry-Riddle University-1.72-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.98Jacksonville University2.1027.1%1st Place
-
4.37University of South Florida1.4514.1%1st Place
-
6.59University of South Florida0.366.8%1st Place
-
5.91Eckerd College0.909.2%1st Place
-
5.17University of South Florida0.9011.8%1st Place
-
6.03Jacksonville University0.828.2%1st Place
-
7.44The Citadel0.364.5%1st Place
-
8.74Eckerd College-0.043.7%1st Place
-
11.3Florida Institute of Technology-0.881.8%1st Place
-
11.0North Carolina State University-0.771.5%1st Place
-
7.99The Citadel0.194.6%1st Place
-
10.86Rollins College-0.711.4%1st Place
-
13.45Rollins College-1.690.4%1st Place
-
10.9University of Miami-0.731.9%1st Place
-
9.88University of Central Florida-0.462.2%1st Place
-
13.39Embry-Riddle University-1.720.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 27.1% | 23.1% | 17.6% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 14.1% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Griffin Richardson | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andreas Keswater | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Agija Elerte | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Noah Frank | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ronan Sulkin | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| William Mullray | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 9.2% |
| Jake Montjoy | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 6.6% |
| Kenneth Buck | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Clayton Weum | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 5.7% |
| Henry Campbell | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 18.5% | 33.4% |
| Andrew Engel | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 7.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Alexander Oakes | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 19.9% | 34.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.