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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College0.90+5.37vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.10+1.07vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.45+1.65vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.82+2.37vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.19+3.60vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.36+1.09vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College-0.04+2.25vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.68-1.19vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.50-1.64vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.10-1.69vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology-0.88+1.02vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-0.84-0.20vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-0.77-1.30vs Predicted
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14The Citadel0.36-6.03vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-1.72-1.07vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-0.46-5.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.37Eckerd College0.908.0%1st Place
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3.07Jacksonville University2.1028.1%1st Place
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4.65University of South Florida1.4514.4%1st Place
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6.37Jacksonville University0.828.3%1st Place
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8.6The Citadel0.193.7%1st Place
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7.09University of South Florida0.366.3%1st Place
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9.25Eckerd College-0.043.0%1st Place
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6.81University of Miami0.687.4%1st Place
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7.36University of South Florida0.505.9%1st Place
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8.31Rollins College0.103.4%1st Place
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12.02Florida Institute of Technology-0.881.0%1st Place
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11.8Rollins College-0.840.9%1st Place
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11.7North Carolina State University-0.771.6%1st Place
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7.97The Citadel0.364.8%1st Place
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13.93Embry-Riddle University-1.720.7%1st Place
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10.69University of Central Florida-0.462.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Griffin Richardson | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Owen Bannasch | 28.1% | 21.0% | 17.9% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Zachariah Schemel | 14.4% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Agija Elerte | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Kenneth Buck | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
Erik Volk | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
Ronan Sulkin | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
Josh Becher | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Luke Justin | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
Carly Orhan | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
William Mullray | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 17.5% | 15.8% |
Emily Threeton | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 18.4% | 13.5% |
Jake Montjoy | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 18.1% | 11.7% |
Noah Frank | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
Alexander Oakes | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 17.3% | 46.8% |
Julian Larsen | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.