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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.10+2.20vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College0.90+4.31vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.36+4.09vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.82+2.31vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.45-0.28vs Predicted
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6The Citadel0.19+2.56vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.68-0.14vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.36-0.01vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.10-0.84vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology-0.88+1.97vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College-0.04-1.72vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida0.50-4.44vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-0.46-2.44vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University-0.77-2.33vs Predicted
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15Rollins College-0.84-3.15vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-1.72-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2Jacksonville University2.1026.1%1st Place
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6.31Eckerd College0.909.4%1st Place
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7.09University of South Florida0.365.5%1st Place
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6.31Jacksonville University0.827.5%1st Place
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4.72University of South Florida1.4515.2%1st Place
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8.56The Citadel0.193.2%1st Place
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6.86University of Miami0.686.6%1st Place
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7.99The Citadel0.364.5%1st Place
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8.16Rollins College0.105.1%1st Place
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11.97Florida Institute of Technology-0.881.4%1st Place
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9.28Eckerd College-0.043.6%1st Place
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7.56University of South Florida0.504.7%1st Place
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10.56University of Central Florida-0.462.8%1st Place
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11.67North Carolina State University-0.771.6%1st Place
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11.85Rollins College-0.841.9%1st Place
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13.9Embry-Riddle University-1.720.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 26.1% | 21.1% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Erik Volk | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Agija Elerte | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 15.2% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Josh Becher | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Noah Frank | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Carly Orhan | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| William Mullray | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 18.9% | 14.0% |
| Ronan Sulkin | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Luke Justin | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Julian Larsen | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 6.3% |
| Jake Montjoy | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 12.4% |
| Emily Threeton | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 14.1% |
| Alexander Oakes | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 15.9% | 47.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.