← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Eckerd College0.90+5.37vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University0.82+4.49vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University2.10+0.03vs Predicted
-
4University of Miami0.68+2.83vs Predicted
-
5Rollins College0.10+3.10vs Predicted
-
6The Citadel0.36+1.82vs Predicted
-
7The Citadel0.19+1.54vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida1.45-3.30vs Predicted
-
9Eckerd College-0.04+0.20vs Predicted
-
10Florida Institute of Technology-0.88+2.18vs Predicted
-
11University of South Florida0.36-4.01vs Predicted
-
12North Carolina State University-0.77-0.35vs Predicted
-
13Embry-Riddle University-1.72+0.82vs Predicted
-
14University of South Florida0.50-6.49vs Predicted
-
15University of Central Florida-0.46-4.15vs Predicted
-
16Rollins College-0.84-4.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.37Eckerd College0.908.1%1st Place
-
6.49Jacksonville University0.827.3%1st Place
-
3.03Jacksonville University2.1028.0%1st Place
-
6.83University of Miami0.686.8%1st Place
-
8.1Rollins College0.104.5%1st Place
-
7.82The Citadel0.364.9%1st Place
-
8.54The Citadel0.194.5%1st Place
-
4.7University of South Florida1.4513.6%1st Place
-
9.2Eckerd College-0.043.8%1st Place
-
12.18Florida Institute of Technology-0.881.4%1st Place
-
6.99University of South Florida0.366.3%1st Place
-
11.65North Carolina State University-0.771.5%1st Place
-
13.82Embry-Riddle University-1.720.8%1st Place
-
7.51University of South Florida0.505.1%1st Place
-
10.85University of Central Florida-0.461.9%1st Place
-
11.91Rollins College-0.841.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Richardson | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Agija Elerte | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Owen Bannasch | 28.0% | 22.8% | 17.2% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Carly Orhan | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Noah Frank | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Kenneth Buck | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 13.6% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ronan Sulkin | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| William Mullray | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 19.2% | 15.0% |
| Erik Volk | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jake Montjoy | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 16.1% | 13.0% |
| Alexander Oakes | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 17.4% | 46.5% |
| Luke Justin | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 6.6% |
| Emily Threeton | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 18.3% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.