← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida1.45+3.44vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida0.90+3.42vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University2.10+0.08vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University0.82+2.22vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida0.36+1.93vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College0.90+0.17vs Predicted
-
7Rollins College0.10+0.70vs Predicted
-
8Rollins College-0.84+3.10vs Predicted
-
9Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+1.14vs Predicted
-
10The Citadel0.36-2.28vs Predicted
-
11Eckerd College-0.04-2.10vs Predicted
-
12The Citadel0.19-4.00vs Predicted
-
13North Carolina State University-0.77-2.15vs Predicted
-
14Embry-Riddle University-1.72-0.92vs Predicted
-
15University of Central Florida-0.46-4.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.44University of South Florida1.4514.8%1st Place
-
5.42University of South Florida0.909.8%1st Place
-
3.08Jacksonville University2.1026.8%1st Place
-
6.22Jacksonville University0.828.6%1st Place
-
6.93University of South Florida0.366.0%1st Place
-
6.17Eckerd College0.908.3%1st Place
-
7.7Rollins College0.105.3%1st Place
-
11.1Rollins College-0.841.2%1st Place
-
10.14Florida Institute of Technology-0.291.8%1st Place
-
7.72The Citadel0.364.7%1st Place
-
8.9Eckerd College-0.043.1%1st Place
-
8.0The Citadel0.194.5%1st Place
-
10.85North Carolina State University-0.772.4%1st Place
-
13.08Embry-Riddle University-1.720.7%1st Place
-
10.26University of Central Florida-0.461.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachariah Schemel | 14.8% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Owen Bannasch | 26.8% | 21.7% | 16.7% | 12.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Erik Volk | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Griffin Richardson | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Carly Orhan | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Emily Threeton | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 20.3% | 13.6% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 7.3% |
| Noah Frank | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Ronan Sulkin | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 2.6% |
| Kenneth Buck | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Jake Montjoy | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 17.0% | 14.1% |
| Alexander Oakes | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 15.6% | 50.3% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.