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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.00+0.73vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.26+2.01vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.85+0.03vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.56-0.67vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University0.05+0.56vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.37-0.84vs Predicted
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7University of Florida-0.51-0.52vs Predicted
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8Florida State University-1.52-0.30vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida-1.78-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.73University of South Florida3.000.5%1st Place
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4.01University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
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3.03Eckerd College1.850.2%1st Place
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3.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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5.56Embry-Riddle University0.050.0%1st Place
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5.16Jacksonville University0.370.0%1st Place
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6.48University of Florida-0.510.0%1st Place
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7.7Florida State University-1.520.0%1st Place
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7.99University of South Florida-1.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Perry | 53.8% | 28.6% | 11.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Giancarlo Falconi | 6.5% | 12.8% | 19.8% | 22.7% | 18.7% | 12.6% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Bradford Cederberg | 16.2% | 24.4% | 24.3% | 17.4% | 11.8% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Odegard | 14.1% | 20.2% | 20.2% | 21.2% | 14.9% | 7.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Geller | 2.9% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 16.8% | 22.5% | 18.5% | 12.2% | 3.0% |
| Daniel Moore | 3.6% | 5.6% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 19.5% | 24.8% | 17.7% | 5.7% | 0.7% |
| Daniel Schulman | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 16.4% | 31.6% | 20.5% | 8.5% |
| John Sutton | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 12.7% | 33.9% | 37.0% |
| Kevin Hendrickson | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 11.1% | 26.1% | 50.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.