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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.92+8.58vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.22+6.47vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.50+4.49vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.23+4.66vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+2.59vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.73+4.52vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.67-0.05vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.50-0.66vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.86+0.90vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.02-0.57vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.39-3.06vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95-2.39vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.74-2.65vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.79-7.75vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-6.66vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.48-8.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.58Connecticut College2.920.0%1st Place
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8.47College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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7.49Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.66Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
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7.59St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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10.52Bowdoin College2.730.0%1st Place
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6.95Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.34Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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9.9University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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9.43University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.94Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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10.35Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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6.25Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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7.59Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Wallace | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 8.8% |
| Corey Hall | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% |
| Claire Dennis | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 4.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% |
| Mayumi Roller | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Charlotte Williamson | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 16.2% |
| Emily Lambert | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Emily Maxwell | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 12.2% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% |
| Morgan Wilson | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
| Katii Gullick | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 11.8% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 14.4% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Krysta Rohde | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Natalie Salk | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.