← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida0.99+2.58vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston1.26+0.72vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University0.48+1.11vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University0.01+1.14vs Predicted
-
5University of North Carolina-0.92+1.81vs Predicted
-
6Rollins College-0.06-0.54vs Predicted
-
7Clemson University0.12-2.89vs Predicted
-
8University of Florida-0.86-0.17vs Predicted
-
9University of Miami-0.75-2.44vs Predicted
-
10Florida State University-2.55-0.51vs Predicted
-
11University of Central Florida-3.16-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.58University of South Florida0.9918.1%1st Place
-
2.72College of Charleston1.2630.0%1st Place
-
4.11Jacksonville University0.4813.8%1st Place
-
5.14North Carolina State University0.017.8%1st Place
-
6.81University of North Carolina-0.923.5%1st Place
-
5.46Rollins College-0.066.6%1st Place
-
4.11Clemson University0.1213.1%1st Place
-
7.83University of Florida-0.861.8%1st Place
-
6.56University of Miami-0.754.6%1st Place
-
9.49Florida State University-2.550.5%1st Place
-
10.18University of Central Florida-3.160.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalea Woodard | 18.1% | 18.1% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Alfortish | 30.0% | 22.9% | 18.4% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 13.8% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lyla Solway | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 15.6% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Emma Gumny | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 18.8% | 19.6% | 8.6% | 1.4% |
| KA Hamner | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Ashton Loring | 13.1% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ava Moring | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 16.4% | 27.3% | 19.1% | 4.4% |
| Daniella Woodbridge | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 17.9% | 16.9% | 7.2% | 1.4% |
| Olivia Figley | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 13.1% | 37.8% | 31.5% |
| Ashley Flanagan | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 6.8% | 23.0% | 61.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.