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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.45+3.56vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College0.90+4.14vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.10+0.04vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.36+2.80vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.36+2.48vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.90-0.62vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.82-0.78vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+2.20vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College-0.04-0.07vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-0.77+1.03vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.19-2.94vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.10-4.20vs Predicted
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13Rollins College-0.84-1.93vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-0.46-3.93vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-1.72-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.56University of South Florida1.4514.0%1st Place
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6.14Eckerd College0.908.1%1st Place
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3.04Jacksonville University2.1026.6%1st Place
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6.8University of South Florida0.367.1%1st Place
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7.48The Citadel0.365.2%1st Place
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5.38University of South Florida0.9010.7%1st Place
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6.22Jacksonville University0.827.8%1st Place
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10.2Florida Institute of Technology-0.292.1%1st Place
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8.93Eckerd College-0.043.2%1st Place
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11.03North Carolina State University-0.771.4%1st Place
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8.06The Citadel0.194.7%1st Place
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7.8Rollins College0.104.8%1st Place
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11.07Rollins College-0.841.8%1st Place
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10.07University of Central Florida-0.461.8%1st Place
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13.23Embry-Riddle University-1.720.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachariah Schemel | 14.0% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Owen Bannasch | 26.6% | 22.7% | 17.9% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Noah Frank | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Andreas Keswater | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Agija Elerte | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 6.5% |
| Ronan Sulkin | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| Jake Montjoy | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 13.6% |
| Kenneth Buck | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Carly Orhan | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Emily Threeton | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 14.7% | 18.1% | 14.8% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 6.8% |
| Alexander Oakes | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 15.3% | 52.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.