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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.45+3.55vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.90+3.41vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.36+3.77vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.10-0.99vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.82+1.25vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+4.24vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College0.90-0.91vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.10-0.21vs Predicted
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9The Citadel0.36-1.53vs Predicted
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10The Citadel0.19-1.87vs Predicted
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11Rollins College-0.84+0.22vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College-0.04-3.15vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-0.77-1.94vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-0.46-3.85vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-1.72-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.55University of South Florida1.4513.9%1st Place
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5.41University of South Florida0.9010.2%1st Place
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6.77University of South Florida0.367.4%1st Place
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3.01Jacksonville University2.1027.1%1st Place
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6.25Jacksonville University0.827.2%1st Place
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10.24Florida Institute of Technology-0.291.7%1st Place
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6.09Eckerd College0.909.5%1st Place
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7.79Rollins College0.104.5%1st Place
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7.47The Citadel0.365.5%1st Place
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8.13The Citadel0.194.7%1st Place
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11.22Rollins College-0.841.0%1st Place
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8.85Eckerd College-0.043.5%1st Place
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11.06North Carolina State University-0.771.1%1st Place
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10.15University of Central Florida-0.461.9%1st Place
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13.01Embry-Riddle University-1.720.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachariah Schemel | 13.9% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Erik Volk | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Owen Bannasch | 27.1% | 23.4% | 16.9% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 8.5% |
| Griffin Richardson | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Carly Orhan | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Noah Frank | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Kenneth Buck | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Emily Threeton | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 18.6% | 15.8% |
| Ronan Sulkin | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
| Jake Montjoy | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 17.8% | 13.6% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 7.2% |
| Alexander Oakes | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 17.1% | 48.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.