Race 3 - outlaw | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%

Within 2 Positions

0.7

Avg Position Diff

4

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Tyler Nolasco & Matthew Lindburg

Western Washington University

0.64

+1.10

vs Predicted
2

Kira Blumhagen & Ella Barnard

Western Washington University

0.23

+0.32

vs Predicted
3

Jaden Unruh & Julia Oglevie

University of Washington

0.18

-0.56

vs Predicted
4

Jenna Hiegel & Reese Miller

University of Washington

-0.62

-0.85

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

2.1

Tyler Nolasco & Matthew Lindburg

Western Washington University

0.64

36.0%

1st Place
2.32

Kira Blumhagen & Ella Barnard

Western Washington University

0.23

28.5%

1st Place
2.44

Jaden Unruh & Julia Oglevie

University of Washington

0.18

24.1%

1st Place
3.15

Jenna Hiegel & Reese Miller

University of Washington

-0.62

11.2%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4
Tyler Nolasco	36.0%	29.2%	23.4%	11.3%
Kira Blumhagen	28.5%	27.6%	27.5%	16.4%
Jaden Unruh	24.1%	28.1%	27.6%	20.2%
Jenna Hiegel	11.2%	15.0%	21.6%	52.1%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.