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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.45+4.93vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+4.40vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.51+2.82vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.29+2.69vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.93+2.85vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.29+0.65vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.98+4.26vs Predicted
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8Villanova University1.30+5.04vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.81-0.79vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.87-1.84vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.20-4.12vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-1.44vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.21-2.58vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.18-7.16vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.77-2.99vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.56-6.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.93Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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6.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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5.82Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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6.69Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.85University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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6.65Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
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11.26St. Mary's College of Maryland1.980.0%1st Place
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13.04Villanova University1.300.0%1st Place
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8.21Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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8.16Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.88College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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10.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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10.42Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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6.84Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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12.01University of Rhode Island1.770.0%1st Place
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9.28Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 12.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Emily Billing | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Catherine Swanson | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Ainsley Thomson | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 15.1% |
| Lindsey Press | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 15.6% | 37.0% |
| Morgan Russom | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Corina Radtke | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Grace Lucas | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Jamie Curran | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 9.9% |
| Erica Lush | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.1% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Catherine Coupland | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 17.9% | 19.4% |
| Katherine Doble | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.