← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Emily Alfortish 29.1% 22.6% 16.9% 13.4% 9.6% 5.4% 2.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kalea Woodard 19.2% 17.8% 17.2% 14.0% 13.1% 9.9% 5.9% 2.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
KA Hamner 6.7% 8.5% 10.1% 10.2% 13.2% 15.8% 14.2% 11.4% 7.5% 2.2% 0.1%
Ashton Loring 13.2% 13.5% 15.3% 15.7% 14.6% 12.4% 9.6% 3.6% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Kaitlyn Liebel 13.9% 16.3% 15.0% 15.2% 13.2% 12.4% 7.4% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Daniella Woodbridge 3.3% 5.0% 5.5% 6.3% 7.5% 10.9% 15.6% 20.4% 16.1% 7.8% 1.5%
Lyla Solway 8.0% 8.6% 10.3% 13.4% 12.9% 13.7% 15.2% 10.4% 6.1% 1.3% 0.2%
Emma Gumny 3.9% 4.1% 5.1% 7.1% 7.6% 9.7% 14.2% 20.1% 19.1% 7.6% 1.6%
Ava Moring 1.9% 2.2% 2.5% 3.0% 5.4% 6.4% 10.1% 17.1% 27.1% 18.9% 5.2%
Olivia Figley 0.4% 0.9% 1.3% 1.2% 1.7% 2.4% 4.1% 5.8% 13.1% 38.4% 30.8%
Ashley Flanagan 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 1.8% 3.5% 7.1% 22.8% 60.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.