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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.23+1.79vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.64+0.49vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.18-0.02vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon0.11-1.11vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.62-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79Western Washington University0.2323.2%1st Place
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2.49Western Washington University0.6428.9%1st Place
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2.98University of Washington0.1819.0%1st Place
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2.89University of Oregon0.1120.3%1st Place
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3.86University of Washington-0.628.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kira Blumhagen | 23.2% | 22.5% | 20.6% | 20.0% | 13.7% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 28.9% | 24.1% | 23.0% | 16.4% | 7.4% |
| Jaden Unruh | 19.0% | 19.7% | 22.3% | 22.6% | 16.4% |
| Emily Avey | 20.3% | 22.8% | 20.2% | 21.0% | 15.7% |
| Jenna Hiegel | 8.5% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 20.0% | 46.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.