Race 1 - outlaw | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%

Within 2 Positions

0.9

Avg Position Diff

4

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Benjamin Luu & Grace Smith

Boston University

0.86

+0.86

vs Predicted
2

Malcolm Duncan Graves & Julia Grams

Western Washington University

-0.20

+0.85

vs Predicted
3

Henry Stier & Austin Lai

University of Washington

-0.25

-0.03

vs Predicted
4

Leopold Sabharwal & Aliyah Dodge

Western Washington University

0.36

-1.69

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

1.86

Benjamin Luu & Grace Smith

Boston University

0.86

45.2%

1st Place
2.85

Malcolm Duncan Graves & Julia Grams

Western Washington University

-0.20

15.0%

1st Place
2.97

Henry Stier & Austin Lai

University of Washington

-0.25

12.8%

1st Place
2.31

Leopold Sabharwal & Aliyah Dodge

Western Washington University

0.36

27.0%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4
Benjamin Luu	45.2%	30.1%	17.8%	6.8%
Malcolm Duncan Graves	15.0%	20.5%	28.6%	35.9%
Henry Stier	12.8%	18.9%	26.8%	41.5%
Leopold Sabharwal	27.0%	30.4%	26.8%	15.8%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.