Race 3 - outlaw | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%

Within 2 Positions

1.1

Avg Position Diff

4

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Leopold Sabharwal & Kurtis Johnston

Western Washington University

0.36

+1.32

vs Predicted
2

Malcolm Duncan Graves & Julia Grams

Western Washington University

-0.20

+0.93

vs Predicted
3

Benjamin Luu & Grace Smith

Boston University

0.86

-1.18

vs Predicted
4

Henry Stier & Austin Lai

University of Washington

-0.25

-1.06

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

2.32

Leopold Sabharwal & Kurtis Johnston

Western Washington University

0.36

26.9%

1st Place
2.93

Malcolm Duncan Graves & Julia Grams

Western Washington University

-0.20

13.3%

1st Place
1.82

Benjamin Luu & Grace Smith

Boston University

0.86

46.0%

1st Place
2.94

Henry Stier & Austin Lai

University of Washington

-0.25

13.9%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4
Leopold Sabharwal	26.9%	31.5%	24.9%	16.8%
Malcolm Duncan Graves	13.3%	19.6%	28.1%	39.0%
Benjamin Luu	46.0%	31.1%	17.6%	5.2%
Henry Stier	13.9%	17.8%	29.4%	39.0%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.