Race 4 - outlaw | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%

Within 2 Positions

0.6

Avg Position Diff

4

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Benjamin Luu & Grace Smith

Boston University

0.86

+0.82

vs Predicted
2

Leopold Sabharwal & Kurtis Johnston

Western Washington University

0.36

+0.32

vs Predicted
3

Malcolm Duncan Graves & Julia Grams

Western Washington University

-0.20

-0.06

vs Predicted
4

Henry Stier & Austin Lai

University of Washington

-0.25

-1.08

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

1.82

Benjamin Luu & Grace Smith

Boston University

0.86

45.8%

1st Place
2.32

Leopold Sabharwal & Kurtis Johnston

Western Washington University

0.36

26.8%

1st Place
2.94

Malcolm Duncan Graves & Julia Grams

Western Washington University

-0.20

13.2%

1st Place
2.92

Henry Stier & Austin Lai

University of Washington

-0.25

14.3%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4
Benjamin Luu	45.8%	31.9%	16.8%	5.7%
Leopold Sabharwal	26.8%	30.1%	27.4%	15.7%
Malcolm Duncan Graves	13.2%	19.2%	28.5%	39.1%
Henry Stier	14.3%	18.9%	27.4%	39.5%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.