Race 5 - outlaw | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%

Within 2 Positions

0.9

Avg Position Diff

4

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Benjamin Luu & Grace Smith

Boston University

0.86

+0.86

vs Predicted
2

Malcolm Duncan Graves & Julia Grams

Western Washington University

-0.20

+0.89

vs Predicted
3

Leopold Sabharwal & Aliyah Dodge

Western Washington University

0.36

-0.68

vs Predicted
4

Henry Stier & Austin Lai

University of Washington

-0.25

-1.07

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

1.86

Benjamin Luu & Grace Smith

Boston University

0.86

45.6%

1st Place
2.89

Malcolm Duncan Graves & Julia Grams

Western Washington University

-0.20

15.3%

1st Place
2.32

Leopold Sabharwal & Aliyah Dodge

Western Washington University

0.36

25.4%

1st Place
2.93

Henry Stier & Austin Lai

University of Washington

-0.25

13.7%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4
Benjamin Luu	45.6%	29.5%	18.6%	6.3%
Malcolm Duncan Graves	15.3%	19.2%	26.4%	39.1%
Leopold Sabharwal	25.4%	32.2%	27.4%	14.9%
Henry Stier	13.7%	19.0%	27.7%	39.6%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.