Race 6 - outlaw | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%

Within 2 Positions

0.9

Avg Position Diff

4

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Benjamin Luu & Grace Smith

Boston University

0.86

+0.88

vs Predicted
2

Malcolm Duncan Graves & Julia Grams

Western Washington University

-0.20

+0.86

vs Predicted
3

Leopold Sabharwal & Aliyah Dodge

Western Washington University

0.36

-0.69

vs Predicted
4

Henry Stier & Austin Lai

University of Washington

-0.25

-1.05

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

1.88

Benjamin Luu & Grace Smith

Boston University

0.86

43.8%

1st Place
2.86

Malcolm Duncan Graves & Julia Grams

Western Washington University

-0.20

15.2%

1st Place
2.31

Leopold Sabharwal & Aliyah Dodge

Western Washington University

0.36

27.3%

1st Place
2.95

Henry Stier & Austin Lai

University of Washington

-0.25

13.8%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4
Benjamin Luu	43.8%	31.2%	18.6%	6.4%
Malcolm Duncan Graves	15.2%	19.9%	28.6%	36.3%
Leopold Sabharwal	27.3%	30.6%	26.1%	16.1%
Henry Stier	13.8%	18.4%	26.6%	41.2%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.