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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.83+1.41vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon0.11+2.28vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-0.40+1.63vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University-0.27+0.58vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.73+0.27vs Predicted
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6Gonzaga University-2.60+2.77vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-1.36-0.26vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-0.86-2.39vs Predicted
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9Unknown School-0.53-4.27vs Predicted
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10Gonzaga University-2.69-0.96vs Predicted
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11Gonzaga University-3.40-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41Western Washington University0.8335.4%1st Place
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4.28University of Oregon0.1111.6%1st Place
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4.63University of Oregon-0.4011.3%1st Place
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4.58Oregon State University-0.2710.4%1st Place
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5.27Western Washington University-0.737.6%1st Place
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8.77Gonzaga University-2.601.4%1st Place
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6.74University of Oregon-1.363.7%1st Place
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5.61University of Oregon-0.867.1%1st Place
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4.73Unknown School-0.539.7%1st Place
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9.04Gonzaga University-2.691.3%1st Place
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9.93Gonzaga University-3.400.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Turloff | 35.4% | 26.1% | 18.4% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Avey | 11.6% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Rowan Clinch | 11.3% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 10.4% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Blaser | 7.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 7.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Gabi Feleciano | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 9.7% | 22.7% | 30.1% | 17.9% |
| Molly McLeod | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 18.9% | 17.1% | 9.8% | 1.7% |
| Siena Beckett | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Hunter Wheaton | 9.7% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Kevin McGann | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 8.3% | 19.4% | 31.9% | 24.2% |
| Elias West | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 11.2% | 20.5% | 55.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.