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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.20+5.79vs Predicted
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2Villanova University1.30+11.03vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.29+3.56vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.18+3.09vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+1.40vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.45+0.05vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.51-1.03vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.77+3.76vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.87-0.95vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.98+1.33vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.29-4.44vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.81-3.71vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.93-5.22vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.56-4.95vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.21-4.37vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-5.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.79College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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13.03Villanova University1.300.0%1st Place
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6.56Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.09Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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6.05Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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5.97Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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11.76University of Rhode Island1.770.0%1st Place
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8.05Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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11.33St. Mary's College of Maryland1.980.0%1st Place
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6.56Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.29Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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7.78University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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9.05Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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10.63Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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10.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Lucas | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Lindsey Press | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 16.6% | 37.9% |
| Emily Billing | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 12.6% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Catherine Coupland | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 16.9% | 19.4% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Ainsley Thomson | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 13.0% |
| Catherine Swanson | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Morgan Russom | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Katherine Doble | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.7% |
| Erica Lush | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 8.1% |
| Jamie Curran | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.