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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.94+5.81vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.47+7.51vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.12+5.14vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.67+3.40vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.96+5.54vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.97+0.81vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+0.10vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.18+2.81vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.25+0.30vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.42-1.38vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-1.22vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.71-4.01vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.95-6.10vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.25-4.39vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.41-2.16vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.31-6.22vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.77-5.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.81Roger Williams University1.949.7%1st Place
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9.51Yale University1.475.9%1st Place
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8.14Harvard University2.127.2%1st Place
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7.4Tufts University1.677.1%1st Place
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10.54Tufts University0.963.5%1st Place
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6.81Boston College1.978.9%1st Place
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7.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.938.7%1st Place
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10.81Dartmouth College1.183.6%1st Place
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9.3Brown University1.254.5%1st Place
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8.62Fordham University1.425.8%1st Place
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9.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.094.3%1st Place
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7.99Northeastern University1.718.1%1st Place
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6.9Dartmouth College1.958.6%1st Place
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9.61Roger Williams University1.254.7%1st Place
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12.84Maine Maritime Academy0.411.8%1st Place
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9.78Salve Regina University1.314.3%1st Place
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11.06Northeastern University0.773.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathieu Dale | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Sam Tobin | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| John Eastman | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Marina Garrido | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% |
| Peter Joslin | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Maks Groom | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% |
| William George | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.1% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Jack Derry | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% |
| Will Priebe | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 29.9% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% |
| Peter Taboada | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.