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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.25+8.36vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.71+6.19vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.95+3.85vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+3.14vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.18+5.69vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.12+2.14vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+2.82vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.67-0.80vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.42-0.56vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.97-3.20vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.77+0.11vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.41+0.90vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.31-2.98vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.47-4.61vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.25-5.44vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.96-5.49vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.94-10.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.36Brown University1.254.2%1st Place
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8.19Northeastern University1.715.8%1st Place
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6.85Dartmouth College1.959.5%1st Place
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7.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.939.8%1st Place
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10.69Dartmouth College1.183.5%1st Place
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8.14Harvard University2.126.9%1st Place
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9.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.093.9%1st Place
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7.2Tufts University1.678.7%1st Place
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8.44Fordham University1.426.2%1st Place
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6.8Boston College1.978.4%1st Place
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11.11Northeastern University0.774.0%1st Place
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12.9Maine Maritime Academy0.412.0%1st Place
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10.02Salve Regina University1.314.5%1st Place
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9.39Yale University1.475.5%1st Place
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9.56Roger Williams University1.254.1%1st Place
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10.51Tufts University0.963.3%1st Place
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6.9Roger Williams University1.949.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William George | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% |
| Will Priebe | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Maks Groom | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Jack Derry | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% |
| John Eastman | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Beckett Kumler | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% |
| Peter Joslin | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Peter Taboada | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 13.1% |
| Henri Richardsson | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 27.9% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% |
| Sam Tobin | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.3% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% |
| Marina Garrido | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% |
| Mathieu Dale | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.