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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.25+8.08vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.12+6.06vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.94+4.12vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.47+5.41vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.25+4.54vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.42+2.63vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.97-0.10vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.95-1.17vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy0.41+3.83vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.71-1.77vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-3.93vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.18-1.40vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.67-5.67vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.96-3.65vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.31-4.87vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-6.19vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.77-5.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.08Brown University1.256.1%1st Place
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8.06Harvard University2.126.8%1st Place
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7.12Roger Williams University1.948.6%1st Place
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9.41Yale University1.475.6%1st Place
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9.54Roger Williams University1.254.6%1st Place
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8.63Fordham University1.425.8%1st Place
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6.9Boston College1.979.4%1st Place
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6.83Dartmouth College1.957.6%1st Place
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12.83Maine Maritime Academy0.412.4%1st Place
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8.23Northeastern University1.716.5%1st Place
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7.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.938.1%1st Place
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10.6Dartmouth College1.183.5%1st Place
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7.33Tufts University1.678.2%1st Place
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10.35Tufts University0.964.7%1st Place
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10.13Salve Regina University1.314.5%1st Place
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9.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.094.8%1st Place
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11.07Northeastern University0.773.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William George | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Mathieu Dale | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Sam Tobin | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Peter Joslin | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Henri Richardsson | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 29.9% |
| Will Priebe | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Maks Groom | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.4% |
| John Eastman | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Marina Garrido | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% |
| Jack Derry | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% |
| Peter Taboada | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.