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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.12+7.07vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.47+7.42vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.67+4.54vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.94+2.73vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+2.18vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.95+0.91vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.31+3.01vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.96+2.41vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.42-0.45vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-0.24vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.77+0.30vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.25-2.84vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.71-4.93vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College1.18-3.46vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.25-5.21vs Predicted
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16Boston College1.97-9.16vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.41-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.07Harvard University2.125.7%1st Place
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9.42Yale University1.473.8%1st Place
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7.54Tufts University1.678.3%1st Place
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6.73Roger Williams University1.949.7%1st Place
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7.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.939.2%1st Place
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6.91Dartmouth College1.9510.2%1st Place
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10.01Salve Regina University1.314.5%1st Place
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10.41Tufts University0.963.3%1st Place
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8.55Fordham University1.426.2%1st Place
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9.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.095.2%1st Place
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11.3Northeastern University0.773.5%1st Place
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9.16Brown University1.254.5%1st Place
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8.07Northeastern University1.716.6%1st Place
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10.54Dartmouth College1.184.2%1st Place
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9.79Roger Williams University1.254.7%1st Place
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6.84Boston College1.978.9%1st Place
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12.73Maine Maritime Academy0.411.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Ascencios | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
| Sam Tobin | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 5.0% |
| John Eastman | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% |
| Mathieu Dale | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Maks Groom | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% |
| Marina Garrido | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% |
| Beckett Kumler | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
| Jack Derry | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% |
| Peter Taboada | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 12.7% |
| William George | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
| Will Priebe | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 10.1% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.