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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.31+9.10vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.94+4.81vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.95+3.83vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.25+5.53vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.42+3.60vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.67+1.43vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.47+2.46vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.96+2.25vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.97-1.94vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-2.85vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.71-2.82vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.12-3.91vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.77-1.97vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.25-4.69vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.41-2.13vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-6.38vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College1.18-6.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.1Salve Regina University1.314.2%1st Place
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6.81Roger Williams University1.9410.7%1st Place
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6.83Dartmouth College1.958.6%1st Place
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9.53Roger Williams University1.254.2%1st Place
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8.6Fordham University1.426.0%1st Place
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7.43Tufts University1.678.6%1st Place
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9.46Yale University1.474.0%1st Place
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10.25Tufts University0.963.8%1st Place
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7.06Boston College1.979.0%1st Place
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7.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.939.1%1st Place
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8.18Northeastern University1.717.6%1st Place
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8.09Harvard University2.126.6%1st Place
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11.03Northeastern University0.772.6%1st Place
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9.31Brown University1.254.9%1st Place
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12.87Maine Maritime Academy0.411.8%1st Place
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9.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.094.7%1st Place
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10.68Dartmouth College1.183.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nils Tullberg | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% |
| Mathieu Dale | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% |
| Beckett Kumler | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% |
| John Eastman | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Sam Tobin | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% |
| Marina Garrido | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% |
| Peter Joslin | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Maks Groom | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Will Priebe | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Peter Taboada | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 12.6% |
| William George | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 15.2% | 29.5% |
| Jack Derry | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.