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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.42+7.45vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.95+4.86vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.94+3.76vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+5.86vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+2.25vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.97+0.85vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.96+3.54vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.25+1.74vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.12-0.92vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.71-2.08vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.77+0.33vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.25-2.87vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.18-2.52vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.41-1.15vs Predicted
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15Yale University1.47-5.51vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.31-5.94vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.67-9.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.45Fordham University1.425.8%1st Place
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6.86Dartmouth College1.958.9%1st Place
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6.76Roger Williams University1.9410.7%1st Place
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9.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.094.5%1st Place
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7.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.938.8%1st Place
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6.85Boston College1.979.8%1st Place
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10.54Tufts University0.963.8%1st Place
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9.74Roger Williams University1.254.7%1st Place
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8.08Harvard University2.126.7%1st Place
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7.92Northeastern University1.717.0%1st Place
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11.33Northeastern University0.772.8%1st Place
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9.13Brown University1.254.8%1st Place
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10.48Dartmouth College1.183.3%1st Place
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12.85Maine Maritime Academy0.411.8%1st Place
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9.49Yale University1.474.5%1st Place
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10.06Salve Regina University1.314.2%1st Place
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7.35Tufts University1.678.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beckett Kumler | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Jack Derry | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.2% |
| Maks Groom | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Peter Joslin | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Marina Garrido | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% |
| Will Priebe | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Peter Taboada | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 13.1% |
| William George | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.1% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 29.2% |
| Sam Tobin | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.6% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% |
| John Eastman | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.