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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.12+6.84vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.94+4.80vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+3.98vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.31+5.77vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.95+1.65vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.97+0.55vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.96+3.18vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.47+1.07vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.25+0.27vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.25-1.08vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.18-0.70vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.46+0.45vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.41-0.34vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.42-5.85vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.67-7.83vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.77-5.29vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-7.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.84Harvard University2.126.8%1st Place
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6.8Roger Williams University1.949.3%1st Place
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6.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.938.2%1st Place
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9.77Salve Regina University1.314.5%1st Place
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6.65Dartmouth College1.958.4%1st Place
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6.55Boston College1.9710.4%1st Place
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10.18Tufts University0.964.2%1st Place
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9.07Yale University1.475.2%1st Place
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9.27Roger Williams University1.255.2%1st Place
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8.92Brown University1.255.5%1st Place
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10.3Dartmouth College1.184.5%1st Place
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12.45Northeastern University0.462.1%1st Place
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12.66Maine Maritime Academy0.411.8%1st Place
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8.15Fordham University1.426.2%1st Place
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7.17Tufts University1.679.0%1st Place
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10.71Northeastern University0.773.5%1st Place
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9.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.095.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Ascencios | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Mathieu Dale | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Maks Groom | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.1% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Peter Joslin | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Marina Garrido | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.3% |
| Sam Tobin | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% |
| William George | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.5% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% |
| Aidan Boni | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 24.6% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 24.3% |
| Beckett Kumler | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| John Eastman | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Peter Taboada | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% |
| Jack Derry | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.