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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.42+7.14vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.94+4.71vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.97+3.61vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.31+5.82vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.12+2.75vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.47+3.03vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.95-0.31vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.25+0.77vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.25+0.41vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.18+0.36vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-1.45vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.67-4.99vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-5.99vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.77-2.98vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.96-4.69vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.46-3.51vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.41-4.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.14Fordham University1.426.1%1st Place
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6.71Roger Williams University1.9410.1%1st Place
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6.61Boston College1.9710.2%1st Place
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9.82Salve Regina University1.313.5%1st Place
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7.75Harvard University2.128.0%1st Place
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9.03Yale University1.475.2%1st Place
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6.69Dartmouth College1.959.7%1st Place
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8.77Brown University1.256.5%1st Place
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9.41Roger Williams University1.255.5%1st Place
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10.36Dartmouth College1.183.6%1st Place
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9.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.094.4%1st Place
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7.01Tufts University1.678.9%1st Place
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7.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.937.9%1st Place
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11.02Northeastern University0.772.6%1st Place
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10.31Tufts University0.963.2%1st Place
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12.49Northeastern University0.462.5%1st Place
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12.33Maine Maritime Academy0.412.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beckett Kumler | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Mathieu Dale | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Peter Joslin | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Sam Tobin | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| William George | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% |
| Jack Derry | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% |
| John Eastman | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Maks Groom | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Peter Taboada | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% |
| Marina Garrido | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% |
| Aidan Boni | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 24.9% |
| Henri Richardsson | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.