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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.87+8.65vs Predicted
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2Cornell University3.35+5.83vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.48+4.39vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College3.14+4.84vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.76+5.08vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.58+5.18vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.28+1.18vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.51-0.85vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.81+1.29vs Predicted
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10Yale University4.10-4.90vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.71-4.29vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.88-2.26vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii3.04-3.67vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-4.30vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.93-5.46vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-8.71vs Predicted
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17Villanova University1.24-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.65Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.83Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.39Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.84Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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10.08University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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11.18Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.18Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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7.15Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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10.29Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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5.1Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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6.71Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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9.74U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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9.33University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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9.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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9.54College of Charleston2.930.0%1st Place
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7.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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15.0Villanova University1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corina Radtke | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 3.5% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Heidi Meramo | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.3% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 8.8% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Russom | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 5.2% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.3% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 10.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 3.3% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
| Kayla Gibson | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 3.3% |
| Kayla McComb | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Celone | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 11.4% | 58.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.