← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University0.83+1.49vs Predicted
-
2Oregon State University-0.27+2.56vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University-0.73+2.33vs Predicted
-
4University of Oregon-0.40+0.59vs Predicted
-
5University of Oregon0.11-0.73vs Predicted
-
6University of Oregon-0.86-0.52vs Predicted
-
7Unknown School-0.53-2.22vs Predicted
-
8Gonzaga University-2.69+0.89vs Predicted
-
9Gonzaga University-2.600.00vs Predicted
-
10University of Oregon-1.36-3.21vs Predicted
-
11Gonzaga University-3.40-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.49Western Washington University0.8333.2%1st Place
-
4.56Oregon State University-0.2710.5%1st Place
-
5.33Western Washington University-0.738.1%1st Place
-
4.59University of Oregon-0.4011.9%1st Place
-
4.27University of Oregon0.1112.9%1st Place
-
5.48University of Oregon-0.867.4%1st Place
-
4.78Unknown School-0.539.2%1st Place
-
8.89Gonzaga University-2.691.6%1st Place
-
9.0Gonzaga University-2.601.1%1st Place
-
6.79University of Oregon-1.363.3%1st Place
-
9.82Gonzaga University-3.400.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Turloff | 33.2% | 26.2% | 18.6% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 10.5% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Blaser | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Rowan Clinch | 11.9% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emily Avey | 12.9% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Siena Beckett | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Hunter Wheaton | 9.2% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Kevin McGann | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 20.2% | 30.4% | 22.4% |
| Gabi Feleciano | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 21.9% | 30.4% | 22.7% |
| Molly McLeod | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 20.2% | 17.6% | 9.9% | 1.2% |
| Elias West | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 12.1% | 20.3% | 53.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.