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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.12+6.74vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.94+4.72vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.97+3.74vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.18+6.27vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.25+4.39vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.95+0.62vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-0.19vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.77+2.82vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+0.45vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.25-1.15vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.67-3.81vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.42-3.87vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.96-2.76vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.47-4.91vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.31-5.23vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.41-3.47vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.46-4.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.74Harvard University2.126.9%1st Place
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6.72Roger Williams University1.948.6%1st Place
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6.74Boston College1.979.4%1st Place
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10.27Dartmouth College1.184.2%1st Place
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9.39Roger Williams University1.254.9%1st Place
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6.62Dartmouth College1.959.2%1st Place
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6.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.938.2%1st Place
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10.82Northeastern University0.773.4%1st Place
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9.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.095.3%1st Place
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8.85Brown University1.255.3%1st Place
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7.19Tufts University1.678.7%1st Place
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8.13Fordham University1.426.8%1st Place
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10.24Tufts University0.964.0%1st Place
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9.09Yale University1.476.2%1st Place
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9.77Salve Regina University1.314.3%1st Place
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12.53Maine Maritime Academy0.412.5%1st Place
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12.65Northeastern University0.462.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Ascencios | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Mathieu Dale | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Peter Joslin | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Maks Groom | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Peter Taboada | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.4% |
| Jack Derry | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.0% |
| William George | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| John Eastman | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Beckett Kumler | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Marina Garrido | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% |
| Sam Tobin | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 4.5% |
| Henri Richardsson | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 23.2% |
| Aidan Boni | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.