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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University3.35+6.78vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+3.09vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+6.57vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+3.36vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.28+3.02vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.88+3.93vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.48+0.39vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.51-0.79vs Predicted
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9Villanova University1.24+6.05vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College3.14-1.43vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.71-4.27vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.58-1.08vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.87-3.01vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.76-3.58vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.93-5.44vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii3.04-6.73vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.81-6.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.78Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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5.09Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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9.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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7.36St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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8.02Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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9.93U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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7.39Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.21Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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15.05Villanova University1.240.0%1st Place
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8.57Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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6.73Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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10.92Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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9.99Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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10.42University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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9.56College of Charleston2.930.0%1st Place
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9.27University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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10.11Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Turner | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.1% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 3.3% |
| Kayla McComb | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 3.8% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 10.0% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Celone | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 12.0% | 57.8% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 10.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 7.9% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% |
| Heidi Meramo | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 4.6% |
| Kayla Gibson | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 2.8% |
| Morgan Russom | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.