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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.95+5.78vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.25+7.38vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+6.60vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.67+3.09vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.47+4.09vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.31+3.90vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.94-0.42vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.77+2.84vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.12-1.25vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.18+0.29vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.96-0.85vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.41+0.60vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-6.22vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.25-5.01vs Predicted
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15Boston College1.97-8.35vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.42-7.83vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.46-4.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.78Dartmouth College1.9510.2%1st Place
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9.38Roger Williams University1.253.9%1st Place
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9.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.094.4%1st Place
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7.09Tufts University1.677.5%1st Place
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9.09Yale University1.475.3%1st Place
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9.9Salve Regina University1.313.2%1st Place
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6.58Roger Williams University1.9410.2%1st Place
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10.84Northeastern University0.772.9%1st Place
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7.75Harvard University2.127.6%1st Place
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10.29Dartmouth College1.183.8%1st Place
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10.15Tufts University0.964.2%1st Place
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12.6Maine Maritime Academy0.411.8%1st Place
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6.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.9310.2%1st Place
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8.99Brown University1.255.5%1st Place
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6.65Boston College1.9710.4%1st Place
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8.17Fordham University1.426.4%1st Place
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12.35Northeastern University0.462.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Hurwitz | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
| Jack Derry | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% |
| John Eastman | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Sam Tobin | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Peter Taboada | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.7% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% |
| Marina Garrido | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 24.1% |
| Maks Groom | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| William George | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.2% |
| Peter Joslin | 10.4% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Beckett Kumler | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Aidan Boni | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 22.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.