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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.95+5.70vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.94+4.75vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.12+4.90vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.42+4.24vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.97+1.66vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.96+4.12vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.18+3.32vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+1.51vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.25+0.40vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.25-1.15vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.47-1.88vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.31-2.38vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.67-5.81vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-7.08vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.46-2.45vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.77-5.29vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.41-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.7Dartmouth College1.958.9%1st Place
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6.75Roger Williams University1.948.8%1st Place
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7.9Harvard University2.126.6%1st Place
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8.24Fordham University1.426.2%1st Place
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6.66Boston College1.9710.1%1st Place
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10.12Tufts University0.963.9%1st Place
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10.32Dartmouth College1.183.5%1st Place
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9.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.094.6%1st Place
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9.4Roger Williams University1.254.2%1st Place
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8.85Brown University1.256.0%1st Place
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9.12Yale University1.476.5%1st Place
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9.62Salve Regina University1.314.5%1st Place
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7.19Tufts University1.679.6%1st Place
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6.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.939.5%1st Place
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12.55Northeastern University0.462.2%1st Place
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10.71Northeastern University0.773.0%1st Place
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12.45Maine Maritime Academy0.411.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Hurwitz | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Mathieu Dale | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Beckett Kumler | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Peter Joslin | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Marina Garrido | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% |
| Jack Derry | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 3.6% |
| William George | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| Sam Tobin | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% |
| John Eastman | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Maks Groom | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Aidan Boni | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 14.6% | 24.3% |
| Peter Taboada | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.0% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 23.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.