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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+8.33vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.28+6.11vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10+2.23vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.48+3.48vs Predicted
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5Cornell University3.35+2.77vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.58+5.16vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.87+2.86vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College3.14+0.58vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.71-2.30vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.51-2.80vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.81-0.85vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.93-2.43vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.76-2.62vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii3.04-4.68vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-7.71vs Predicted
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16Villanova University1.24-1.02vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.88-7.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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8.11Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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5.23Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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7.48Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.77Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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11.16Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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9.86Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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8.58Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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6.7Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.2Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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10.15Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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9.57College of Charleston2.930.0%1st Place
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10.38University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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9.32University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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7.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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14.98Villanova University1.240.0%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arielle DeLisser | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 2.9% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.3% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 8.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 3.4% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 4.4% |
| Kayla Gibson | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.0% |
| Heidi Meramo | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 5.3% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| Kayla McComb | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Celone | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 56.9% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.