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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.71+5.34vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+3.05vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.58+7.93vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+5.61vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii3.04+3.96vs Predicted
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6Cornell University3.35+2.07vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+0.32vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.51-0.84vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.48-1.40vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.76+0.14vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.81-0.75vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.28-3.80vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.87-2.98vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.88-4.08vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.93-5.44vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College3.14-7.14vs Predicted
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17Villanova University1.24-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.34Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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5.05Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.93Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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9.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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8.96University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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8.07Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.32St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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7.16Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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7.6Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.14University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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10.25Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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8.2Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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10.02Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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9.92U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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9.56College of Charleston2.930.0%1st Place
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8.86Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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15.0Villanova University1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlantic Brugman | 11.1% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.8% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 8.1% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 2.9% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.1% |
| Lauren Turner | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Kayla McComb | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Natalie Salk | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Heidi Meramo | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 4.3% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 4.8% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 3.6% |
| Kayla Gibson | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 2.9% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Sarah Celone | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 11.6% | 57.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.