← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+5.82vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.67+5.05vs Predicted
-
3Boston College1.97+3.78vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.12+3.89vs Predicted
-
5Yale University1.47+4.22vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College1.95+0.57vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.25+2.29vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+1.43vs Predicted
-
9Fordham University1.42-0.86vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University1.31-0.41vs Predicted
-
11Brown University1.25-2.00vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University0.96-1.74vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University0.46-0.31vs Predicted
-
14Maine Maritime Academy0.41-1.50vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College1.18-4.67vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University1.94-9.35vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University0.77-6.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.939.7%1st Place
-
7.05Tufts University1.677.8%1st Place
-
6.78Boston College1.978.6%1st Place
-
7.89Harvard University2.127.0%1st Place
-
9.22Yale University1.474.4%1st Place
-
6.57Dartmouth College1.9510.2%1st Place
-
9.29Roger Williams University1.255.5%1st Place
-
9.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.095.1%1st Place
-
8.14Fordham University1.426.7%1st Place
-
9.59Salve Regina University1.314.7%1st Place
-
9.0Brown University1.255.5%1st Place
-
10.26Tufts University0.963.9%1st Place
-
12.69Northeastern University0.461.6%1st Place
-
12.5Maine Maritime Academy0.411.8%1st Place
-
10.33Dartmouth College1.183.5%1st Place
-
6.65Roger Williams University1.9410.3%1st Place
-
10.78Northeastern University0.773.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maks Groom | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| John Eastman | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Peter Joslin | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Sam Tobin | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Jack Derry | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 3.9% |
| Beckett Kumler | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% |
| William George | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| Marina Garrido | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.4% |
| Aidan Boni | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 26.4% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 14.9% | 23.2% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% |
| Mathieu Dale | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Peter Taboada | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.